The global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market is projected to reach USD 19,950.26 million by 2031, at a CAGR of 57.74%, from USD 520.62 million in 2022. The sustainable aviation fuel market is expected to continue to grow in the coming years due to the increase in the use of synthetic lubricants and aviation industry’s demand to reduce CO2 emissions is growing.
The market for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has grown as a viable way to lessen the negative environmental effects of conventional aviation fuels. Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is a greener option to fossil fuels since it is produced from renewable resources such as biomass, leftover cooking oil, and agricultural residues. With its launch, the aviation sector has made a significant step in cutting its carbon emissions. A varied and flexible supply chain is ensured by the multiple paths involved in SAF manufacturing, including alcohol-to-jet, hydroprocessing, and Fischer-Tropsch synthesis.
A growing number of airlines and industry players are investing in SAF because of its capacity to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions. But even with all of its environmental advantages, there are still issues with production scaling and maintaining cost competitiveness when compared to traditional jet fuels. To accelerate the market penetration of SAF, government regulations that encourage its adoption and partnerships between fuel providers, airlines, and technological developers are essential. The expansion of the SAF market represents a proactive move in the direction of sustainable aviation and is consistent with international efforts to mitigate climate change, all the while preserving the vital role that air travel plays in global communication and transportation.
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In November 2023, Gulfstream Aerospace Corp. declared that it had successfully completed the first transatlantic flight in history on only sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The Gulfstream G600 used for the journey took off from the company’s Savannah headquarters and landed at Farnborough Airport in England after 6 hours and 56 minutes.
In November 2023, USA BioEnergy, LLC and Southwest Airlines Co. have finalized an offtake agreement, paving the way for the procurement of up to 680 million gallons of environmentally friendly sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Through the incorporation of this SAF alongside conventional jet fuel, the collaboration has the potential to yield a total of 2.59 billion gallons of net-zero1 fuel throughout the 20-year duration of the agreement. This initiative is expected to result in a substantial reduction of 30 million metric tons of CO2 emissions. Southwest® is set to commence the acquisition of SAF from the USA BioEnergy facility situated in close proximity to Bon Wier, Texas.
Segment Analysis and Market Dynamics
Based on fuel type, the global sustainable aviation fuel market is divided into biofuel, hydrogen fuel, power to liquid fuel. Biofuel is derived from renewable sources such as agricultural waste, algae, or used cooking oil, biofuels are considered a frontrunner in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market. They can directly replace traditional jet fuels without requiring modifications to existing aircraft or infrastructure. Biofuels significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional aviation fuels and have gained traction due to their compatibility with existing aircraft engines. Where, Hydrogen is gaining attention as a potential zero-emission fuel for aviation. It can be produced through electrolysis using renewable electricity or derived from sources like natural gas with carbon capture and storage. Hydrogen fuel cells generate electricity by combining hydrogen with oxygen, producing only water as a byproduct. However, challenges remain in terms of infrastructure development, storage, and the need for aircraft modifications to accommodate hydrogen propulsion systems. PtL fuels involve the conversion of renewable electricity into liquid fuels like synthetic kerosene or diesel. This process typically involves electrolysis to produce hydrogen and subsequent conversion into liquid fuels through processes like Fischer-Tropsch synthesis. PtL fuels offer energy density similar to traditional jet fuels and can utilize excess renewable energy. However, production costs and scalability pose challenges for widespread adoption.
Based on biofuel manufacturing technology, the global sustainable aviation fuel market is divided into fischer tropsch – synthetic paraffinic kerosene (FT-SPK), hydro processed esters and fatty acids – synthetic paraffinic kerosene (HEFA-SPK), synthetic ISO-paraffin from fermented hydro processed sugar (HFS-SIP), alcohol to jet SPK(ATJ-SPK)). HEFA-SPK is derived from vegetable oils, animal fats, or waste oils. Through hydroprocessing, these feedstocks are converted into synthetic paraffinic kerosene. This process involves hydrotreating and hydrocracking to remove oxygen and convert triglycerides into hydrocarbons. HEFA-SPK meets aviation fuel standards and is compatible with existing aircraft without requiring engine modifications. HFS-SIP involves the fermentation of sugars from biomass sources like agricultural residues or dedicated energy crops. The sugars are converted into hydrocarbons through hydroprocessing, resulting in synthetic isoparaffins (SIP). SIP can be blended into aviation fuel and has the potential for a lower carbon footprint, although commercial-scale production is still in development. ATJ-SPK involves the conversion of alcohols (such as ethanol or butanol) into synthetic paraffinic kerosene through dehydration, oligomerization, and hydroprocessing. This pathway utilizes alcohol feedstocks derived from various renewable sources, including biomass or agricultural waste. ATJ-SPK is designed to meet aviation fuel specifications and can be blended with traditional jet fuel.
A complex interaction of different elements shapes the dynamics of the market for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The use of SAF by airlines is encouraged by regulatory actions and environmental policies, which are crucial in lowering their carbon footprint. The desire for sustainable alternatives in aviation is fueled by both the unstable prices of fossil fuels and the increasing consciousness of environmental issues. In order to meet industry demands and maintain cost competitiveness, the market must overcome hurdles in scaling up production. These issues are being addressed by technological breakthroughs and improvements in feedstock supply and conversion procedures, which are promoting higher production efficiency and lower production costs. To accelerate market growth and infrastructure development, airlines, fuel producers, investors, and governments must work together across the value chain.The dynamics of the market are also greatly impacted by changes in feedstock pricing, geopolitical issues that affect resource availability, and worldwide economic conditions. Technological developments, regulatory frameworks, economic feasibility, and sustainable practices are all factors that must be balanced in order to determine how quickly SAF adoption will occur in the aviation sector.
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Regional Analysis
The sustainable aviation fuel market in Asia Pacific is expected to lead globally. There is an increasing need for air travel in this region, which is home to some of the fastest-growing aviation markets globally. Rapid economic expansion in nations like China and India is increasing air travel, which in turn is driving up the demand for greener alternatives to aviation fuel. Furthermore, governments in Asia-Pacific are putting more emphasis on environmental sustainability and enacting laws to lower carbon emissions. This involves supporting the use of renewable energy sources in aviation through legislative frameworks, tax breaks, and subsidies to promote the adoption of SAF. The area is also rich in biomass resources and technological know-how, which makes it an ideal place to develop and produce sustainable aviation fuels. Research institutes, biofuel producers, and airlines working together further spurs development in SAF production and technology and builds a strong market environment. The region’s significance in the global SAF industry is also a result of relationships with international organizations and programs to promote sustainable practices in aviation. Due to a number of factors, including growing demand for air travel, favorable government regulations, an abundance of resources, technological developments, and cooperative efforts, the Asia Pacific area is well-positioned to lead the worldwide adoption and expansion of sustainable aviation fuels.
The report “Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report by Fuel Type (Biofuel, Hydrogen Fuel, Power to Liquid Fuel), by Platform (Commercial Aviation, Military Aviation, Business and General Aviation, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle), by Aircraft Type (Fixed Wings, Rotorcraft, Others), by Biofuel Manufacturing Technology(Fischer Tropsch – Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK), Hydro processed Esters and Fatty Acids – Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene(HEFA-SPK), Synthetic ISO-Paraffin from fermented hydro processed sugar(HFS-SIP), Alcohol To Jet SPK(ATJ-SPK)), and by Region (North America, Europe, APAC, MEA, and CSA), and Segment Forecasts, 2023 – 2031” is available now to Econ Market Research customers and can also be purchased directly from: https://www.econmarketresearch.com/
Further key findings from the report suggest:
- The global sustainable aviation fuel market is predicted to register a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57.74% over the projected period of 2023-2031.
- Asia Pacific will be the leading region of the global sustainable aviation fuel market during the forecast period of 2023-2031.
- The major key players in the global sustainable aviation fuel market are: SkyNRG, Fulcrum Bioenergy, Sasol, Gevo, Avfuel Corporation, Neste, Preem AB, World Energy, LANZATECH, and Aemetis.
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Econ Market Research has segmented the global sustainable aviation fuel market based on fuel type, platform, aircraft type, biofuel manufacturing technology and region:
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market by Fuel Type (Revenue, USD Billion, 2023-2031)
- Biofuel
- Hydrogen Fuel
- Power to Liquid Fuel
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market by Platform (Revenue, USD Billion, 2023-2031)
- Commercial Aviation
- Military Aviation
- Business and General Aviation
- Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market by Aircraft Type (Revenue, USD Billion, 2023-2031)
- Fixed Wings
- Rotorcraft, Others
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market by Biofuel Manufacturing Technology (Revenue, USD Billion, 2023-2031)
- Fischer Tropsch – Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
- Hydro processed Esters and Fatty Acids – Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene(HEFA-SPK)
- Synthetic ISO-Paraffin from fermented hydro processed sugar(HFS-SIP)
- Alcohol To Jet SPK(ATJ-SPK)
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Regional Analysis (Revenue, USD Billion, 2023-2031)
- North America
- U.S.
- Canada
- Mexico
- Europe
- Germany
- U.K.
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- Rest of Europe
- Asia Pacific
- China
- India
- Japan
- South Korea
- Australia
- Rest of Asia Pacific
- Middle East & Africa
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE
- South Africa
- Rest of MEA
- Latin America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Rest of Latin America
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